Category: Uncategorized


  • A Profitable Seasonal Pattern in Natural Gas

    April presents an interesting seasonal anomaly in the natural gas market. Over the last 15 years, natural gas prices have increased in 14 of those years during the period between March 30 and April 30. That results in a win rate of 93.3%, which is a remarkably high probability setup for a seasonal trade. 📅…

  • Lean Hogs (LE) – A Seasonal Trading Opportunity in April

    What Are Lean Hogs? Lean Hogs (LE) are a futures contract traded on the CME, representing the price of pork in the U.S. market. These contracts are widely used by farmers, food producers, and traders to hedge or speculate on pork prices. The market is influenced by various factors such as feed costs, seasonal demand…

  • NIO Stock Analysis – A Potential Turning Point?

    NIO Inc. is one of the most well-known Chinese electric vehicle manufacturers, often referred to as a competitor to Tesla. While the company has faced challenges such as supply chain issues and increased competition, it remains a key player in the EV industry. With NIO stock currently trading at relatively low levels, traders and investors…

  • Tesla (TSLA) Price Forecast: What the Data Suggests for the Next Few Weeks

    Tesla (TSLA), the electric vehicle powerhouse led by Elon Musk, has been a rollercoaster for investors lately. Its stock price has seen some sharp ups and downs, and as of late March 2025, it’s got everyone wondering what’s next. I’ve taken a closer look at TSLA’s price direction using Timing Solution software, and the forecast…

  • Trading Day of Month (TDOM): A Seasonal Sweet Spot in March for the S&P 500

    Understanding the TDOM Concept The Trading Day of Month (TDOM) strategy, introduced by legendary trader Larry Williams, is based on the idea that certain days of the month tend to have a bullish or bearish bias in the stock market. Unlike a calendar day, which refers to a fixed date (e.g., the 1st, 15th, or…

  • Trade Rationale: Long Position in NZD/USD

    1. Market Context NZD/USD has shown signs of a potential bullish reversal, supported by positioning data, cyclical analysis, and intermarket correlations. Given these factors, I am looking to enter a long position using a structured approach. 2. Key Factors Supporting the Trade Factor Details COT Data Commercial traders are at their highest long positioning since…

  • Bitcoin and the Dollar Index: A Time-Shifted Correlation

    It is well known that different asset classes are correlated. Bitcoin, for example, often moves in sync with the stock markets, as seen during the 2020 market crash and subsequent recovery. When equity markets fell sharply in March 2020, Bitcoin also plummeted, only to rally alongside tech stocks in the following months. However, some correlations…

  • Is a Nasdaq Rally Coming? Gold Suggests a Bullish Move Ahead

    old and stocks have an interesting relationship over time. Historically, the price of gold has often served as a useful indicator for the future performance of stock markets. But why is this the case? In this article, we explore the connection between gold and equities and analyze the Nasdaq index using the software Timing Solution,…

  • My First Backtest Journey: Building the 3-Bar Triangle Strategy from Scratch

    Verifying the Strategy’s Origins Before diving into my journey, I wanted to confirm the origins of the 3-Bar Triangle Strategy, as I intended to attribute it to Linda Raschke, a renowned trader known for her practical and effective trading systems. After some research, I found that the 3-Bar Triangle pattern aligns with Raschke’s philosophy of…

  • Hasbro Stock: A Seasonal Opportunity Worth Watching

    Hasbro, Inc. (HAS) is a well-known name in the toy and entertainment world. Based in Pawtucket, Rhode Island, the company, founded in 1923, is behind iconic brands like Monopoly, Transformers, Play-Doh, and Nerf. It has also expanded into digital gaming through its Wizards of the Coast division, featuring hits like Magic: The Gathering and Dungeons…